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3D Is The Future Of Video

January 6th, 2010 by Seth Kenvin

But is widespread 3D video as soon as Avatar & CES gadget launches indicate?

The momentum:

What can stop this? Nothing. We will all watch everything in 3D — live & recorded; fiction & real-life action; professional content & user-generated; and on every screen whether it’s on a wall, in a pocket or connected to a keyboard & even by a variety of ubiquitous projectors that will turn any surface into a 3D display.

Great, with the head of steam we’ve got that should be soon, right? No. I have no idea when it will happen, but I can assure  that we’ve got multiple years to go, maybe even decades, before our video being in 3D becomes more rule than exception.

Consider the following similar scenarios I recall from eight years working in the cable industry:

When will mass adoption of 3D finally extend to all video, consumed anywhere, at any time, on any device? Don’t know, but I expect no sooner than:

  • The price ranges of 3D display devices recedes, with a low end starting in the hundreds of dollars
  • The 46% of US households with HDTV sets need some time before those move from the living room to the bedroom in order to make prime in-home real estate available for 3D to arrive
  • No glasses required

What else will have to happen?

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